In my previous post, I suggested that the best option for the Niners is to keep Jimmy G. and draft a QB as his back-up.
QB’s coming out of college need time to learn the Pro game and simply can’t take over as a rookie.
Here are the QB’s picked in the 1st round from 2015-2020.
- Joe Burrow (Bengals)
- Tua Tagovailoa (Dolphins)
- Justin Herbert (Chargers)
- Jordan Love (Packers)
- Kyler Murray (Cardinals)
- Daniel Jones (Giants)
- Dwayne Haskins (Washington)
- Baker Mayfield (Browns)
- Sam Darnold (Jets)
- Josh Allen (Bills)
- Josh Rosen (Cardinals)
- Lamar Jackson (Ravens)
- Michell Trubisky (Bears)
- Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)
- Deshaun Watson (Texans)
- Jared Goff (Rams)
- Carson Wentz (Eagles)
- Paxton Lynch (Broncos)
- Jameis Winston (Bucaneers)
- Marcus Mariota (Titans)
No QB from the 2020 and 2019 draft are in this year’s Playoffs. Jordan Love hasn’t even played and Dwayne Haskins has been cut.
From the 2018 class, Baker Mayfield will be in his first Playoff game. Josh Allen made the playoffs last year but lost to DeShaun Watson (Texans) in Overtime. Allen is poised to go further this year. Lamar Jackson made the Playoffs last year but lost to the Titans in which he had a very bad game.
From the 2017 class, Patrick Mahomes won the Super Bowl last year. DeShaun Watson made the Playoffs last year but blew a 24-0 lead to the Chiefs. The Texans had only 4 wins this year.
From the 2016 class, Jared Goff made it to the Super Bowl in his 2nd year but has since regressed. The Eagles won the Super Bowl with back-up, Nick Foles as Carson Wentz was injured. Wentz had a good year last year but a horrible year this year and was benched.
From the 2015 class, Winston and Mariota were selected #1 and #2 overall but are backups now.
Paxton Lynch and Dwayne Haskins are out of the league and Josh Rosen was picked up by the Niners from the Bucaneer’s Practice Squad after being traded twice. The Niners picked up Rosen only after Nick Mullens was injured and they had Beathard as their only healthy QB.
So, out of 20 1st round QB picks since 2015, only Mahomes and Goff have made it to the Super Bowl and only Mahomes has won.
The chances that Lawrence, Fields, Wilson, Lance and Jones will lead their NFL teams to the Super Bowl in the next few years are slim to none.
Jimmy Garoppolo lead the Niners to the Super Bowl but was injured for most of this year. He will be in his 3rd year under Shanahan, knows Shanahan’s offense and is still in the prime of his career. Most of his team-mates from the Super Bowl team who were on IR this year will be back next year. Just remember that the Niners had a 10 point lean with 7 minutes to play in the Super Bowl. Had the Niner Defense held on, there wouldn’t even be a Jimmy G. controversy.
The Niners do need to draft a QB but not necessarily in the 1st round. A guy named Montana was selected in the 3rd round. Having said that, if Fields, Wilson or Lance is still on the board at #12 of the 1st round, the Niners should draft whoever is still available. They should NOT trade up to get any of these guys. The cost will be too high.